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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 21, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
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Brest
4 - 1
St Etienne

Honorat (7'), Duverne (23'), Cardona (33'), Mounie (38')
Brassier (30')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Camara (31')
Trauco (55')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawSaint-Etienne
40.61%26.69%32.7%
Both teams to score 51.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.44%53.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.93%75.07%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.06%25.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.06%60.94%
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35%30.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1%66.9%
Score Analysis
    Brest 40.6%
    Saint-Etienne 32.7%
    Draw 26.68%
BrestDrawSaint-Etienne
1-0 @ 10.72%
2-1 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 7.24%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 40.6%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 7.95%
2-2 @ 5.06%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.4%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-2 @ 5.56%
1-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 2%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 32.7%


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