Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
