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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Mar 21, 2021 at 12pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
LL

Strasbourg
1 - 2
Lens

Bellegarde (20')
T. (42'), Thomasson (42'), Sissoko (44')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Haidara (5'), Fofana (40')
Bade (19'), Medina (44'), Doucoure (86'), Jean (90'), Leca (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawLens
32.54%27.1%40.37%
Both teams to score 50.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8%55.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56%76.44%
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41%31.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.01%67.99%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17%26.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88%62.12%
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 32.54%
    Lens 40.36%
    Draw 27.09%
StrasbourgDrawLens
1-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 7.4%
2-0 @ 5.63%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.54%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 11.15%
1-2 @ 8.45%
0-2 @ 7.34%
1-3 @ 3.71%
0-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 40.36%

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