Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 43.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 28.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.