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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Mar 21, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
B

Montpellier
3 - 1
Bordeaux

Sambia (35'), Laborde (58'), Mavididi (69')
Cozza (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ui-jo (28')
Michael Seri (34'), Benito (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawBordeaux
39.07%25.64%35.29%
Both teams to score 55.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3%48.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19%70.8%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46%24.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98%59.01%
Bordeaux Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35%26.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.11%61.89%
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 39.07%
    Bordeaux 35.29%
    Draw 25.63%
Montpellier HSCDrawBordeaux
1-0 @ 9.19%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.06%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.07%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.54%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 8.65%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 5.72%
1-3 @ 3.54%
0-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 35.29%

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