Brest have shown brilliant courage to fight against relegation, but with the job not yet complete, they need another big performance given the quality of the sides left to play.
Clermont are the kings of keeping things tight before striking a killer blow, having won 12 points this season thanks to goals scored in the final 15 minutes, and that could be what decides this tie.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
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