With Brest enjoying over a week's worth of rest, proving themselves to be a tough nut to crack and consistently finding the back of the net on home soil, Roy's side can end their hoodoo against a shell-shocked Nantes team.
A raft of changes from Kombouare should at least make Wednesday's fixture more competitive than their cup thumping, but the stage is surely set for Brest to rise above the dotted line, plunging Nantes into the relegation zone in the process.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
0.51) 
-1.14) 
