With Clermont playing mainly for pride, Troyes must take advantage as they are fighting for their Ligue 1 lives, but holding onto leads is a big problem for them.
Since the start of last season, Troyes have dropped a staggering 49 points from winnings positions, opening the scoring on 30 occasions but only winning 10 of those games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
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