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Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 16, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II.

Monaco
1 - 0
Sturm Graz

Diatta (66')
Jakobs (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wuthrich (64'), Prass (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monaco in this match.

Result
MonacoDrawSturm Graz
37.12%26.54%36.33%
Both teams to score 52.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.5%52.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.84%74.16%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62%27.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15%62.84%
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16%27.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.56%63.43%
Score Analysis
    Monaco 37.12%
    Sturm Graz 36.33%
    Draw 26.54%
MonacoDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 9.87%
2-1 @ 8.18%
2-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 3.53%
3-0 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 37.12%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.62%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-2 @ 6.23%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.33%

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