SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.52%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 66.7% | 20.75% | 12.55% |
| Both teams to score 42.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% | 51.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% | 73.14% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.47% | 14.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.44% | 42.56% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.96% | 50.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.32% | 84.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 14.02% 2-0 @ 13.52% 2-1 @ 9.37% 3-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 6.02% 4-0 @ 4.2% 4-1 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.09% 5-0 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.13% Total : 66.69% | 1-1 @ 9.71% 0-0 @ 7.27% 2-2 @ 3.24% Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.75% | 0-1 @ 5.03% 1-2 @ 3.36% 0-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.42% Total : 12.55% |
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