Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Metz had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
