Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 52.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Caen had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Caen win it was 1-0 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.