Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Dijon win it was 1-0 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.