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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Oct 3, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
S

Lens
2 - 0
St Etienne

Kakuta (15' pen.), Sotoca (82')
Kakuta (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Macon (64')
Kolodziejczak (14'), Khazri (64')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawSaint-Etienne
40.85%27.42%31.72%
Both teams to score 48.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.36%56.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.39%77.61%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77%27.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.35%62.66%
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11%32.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.53%69.47%
Score Analysis
    Lens 40.85%
    Saint-Etienne 31.72%
    Draw 27.42%
LensDrawSaint-Etienne
1-0 @ 11.65%
2-1 @ 8.43%
2-0 @ 7.58%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.85%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 8.96%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.96%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.72%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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