Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Lens had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
