SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 13.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.73%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Nice |
13.6% ( 0.4) | 19.86% ( 0.45) | 66.54% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 48.24% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.59% ( -1.1) | 45.41% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.26% ( -1.06) | 67.74% ( 1.06) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.29% ( -0.08) | 44.71% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.3% ( -0.06) | 80.7% ( 0.07) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.26% ( -0.57) | 12.74% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.01% ( -1.18) | 38.99% ( 1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Le Havre | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.29% Total : 13.6% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.8% Total : 19.86% | 0-2 @ 12.09% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.29)1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 8.3% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 6.68% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 4.28% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 3.44% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 1.76% ( -0.11)1-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.01% Total : 66.53% |
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