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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Oceane
S

Le Havre
0 - 3
Strasbourg

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Diarra (28'), Nanasi (32'), Santos (90')
Sobol (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 2-1 Le Havre
Saturday, December 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-0 Reims
Sunday, December 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Havre 0-1 Strasbourg

There is little to separate the teams in the Ligue 1 standings, so this should be a tight encounter between two clubs both in need of three points. Strasbourg have struggled away from home this year, but we are backing them to get their first away win against a Le Havre side that have found it difficult to score goals this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawStrasbourg
32.75% (0.183 0.18) 26.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 40.37% (-0.198 -0.2)
Both teams to score 50.76% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)54.33% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.28% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)75.72% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.116 0.12)31.01% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (0.133 0.13)67.32% (-0.13 -0.13)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)26.42% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (-0.154 -0.15)61.58% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 32.75%
    Strasbourg 40.36%
    Draw 26.88%
Le HavreDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.75%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 10.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.26% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Le Havre
Saturday, December 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Angers
Sunday, December 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Le Havre
Sunday, November 24 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-3 Reims
Sunday, November 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-0 Le Havre
Friday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-0 Reims
Sunday, December 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, November 30 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, November 24 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, November 9 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 2-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, November 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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