SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Reims had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Nice |
29.56% ( -0.28) | 24.76% ( 0.16) | 45.69% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.38% ( -0.84) | 46.62% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.11% ( -0.79) | 68.89% ( 0.79) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( -0.62) | 29.3% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.74% ( -0.76) | 65.26% ( 0.76) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( -0.29) | 20.47% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.06% ( -0.46) | 52.94% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reims | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.56% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.69% |
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