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Old Firm derby: 8 hrs 19 mins
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L
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
BL

Lille
1 - 1
Brest

David (19')
Mandava (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Faivre (32')
Herelle (70'), Bizot (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Brest had a probability of 15.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawBrest
61.84%22.6%15.56%
Both teams to score 44.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.28%52.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65%74.35%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.4%16.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.6%46.39%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.66%46.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.02%81.98%
Score Analysis
    Lille 61.83%
    Brest 15.56%
    Draw 22.59%
LilleDrawBrest
1-0 @ 13.8%
2-0 @ 12.4%
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 7.43%
3-1 @ 5.71%
4-0 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 2.2%
5-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 0.99%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 61.83%
1-1 @ 10.62%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 3.67%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 22.59%
0-1 @ 5.91%
1-2 @ 4.09%
0-2 @ 2.28%
1-3 @ 1.05%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 15.56%

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