Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Brest had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
