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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Nov 8, 2020 at 12pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
L

Brest
3 - 2
Lille

Pierre-Gabriel (15'), Perraud (19'), Cardona (42')
Chardonnet (52'), Mounie (56'), Larsonneur (87'), Faussurier (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Yilmaz (45+3' pen., 57')
Yilmaz (45+3'), Mandava (64'), Fonte (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Brest had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLille
27.97%25.42%46.61%
Both teams to score 53.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.68%50.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74%72.26%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.64%32.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.13%68.87%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41%21.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31%54.69%
Score Analysis
    Brest 27.97%
    Lille 46.61%
    Draw 25.41%
BrestDrawLille
1-0 @ 7.88%
2-1 @ 6.82%
2-0 @ 4.45%
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 1.97%
3-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.97%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 10.71%
1-2 @ 9.26%
0-2 @ 8.21%
1-3 @ 4.73%
0-3 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 2.67%
1-4 @ 1.81%
0-4 @ 1.61%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 46.61%


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