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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
S

Lorient
1 - 2
Strasbourg

Dieng (53')
Dieng (32'), Mendy (71'), Toure (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bakwa (14'), Gameiro (49')
Perrin (68'), Sels (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 2-4 Marseille
Sunday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-2 Strasbourg

As we near the end of 2023, Strasbourg appear to be finding their form, and we expect them to put away at least a couple of their opportunities against a Lorient side who have been poor defensively throughout the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Strasbourg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Strasbourg.

Result
LorientDrawStrasbourg
34.73% (-1.596 -1.6) 25.33%39.93% (1.597 1.6)
Both teams to score 56.32% (-0.208 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (-0.179 -0.18)47.4% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (-0.163 -0.16)69.62% (0.163 0.16)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (-1.003 -1)26.36% (1.003 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49% (-1.357 -1.36)61.5% (1.356 1.36)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (0.75 0.75)23.51% (-0.751 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (1.076 1.08)57.55% (-1.077 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 34.73%
    Strasbourg 39.93%
    Draw 25.33%
LorientDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 34.73%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.259 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.325 0.33)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.182 0.18)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.221 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.097 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.103 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lorient 2-4 Marseille
Sunday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Lorient
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-3 Metz
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-0 Lorient
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Lens
Saturday, November 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Lorient
Saturday, October 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Strasbourg
Thursday, December 7 at 7.30pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-1 Strasbourg
Friday, December 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Marseille
Saturday, November 25 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-0 Clermont
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 29 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1


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