SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 27.63% | 27.26% | 45.11% |
| Both teams to score 47.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.39% | 57.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.62% | 78.38% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.48% | 36.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.69% | 73.31% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% | 25.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.72% | 60.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 4.72% 3-1 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.86% Total : 27.63% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.3% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 12.71% 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 8.7% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.1% |
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