SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Lens |
17.46% ( 0.04) | 21.53% ( 0.04) | 61% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.76% ( -0.1) | 45.24% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.42% ( -0.1) | 67.58% ( 0.1) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.57% ( -0) | 39.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.87% ( -0) | 76.13% ( 0.01) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.66% ( -0.05) | 14.34% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.8% ( -0.11) | 42.2% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.46% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.53% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 61% |
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