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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 35
May 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
A

Marseille
3 - 1
Angers

Sanchez (34'), Payet (48'), Veretout (77' pen.)
Tavares (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sima (28')
Niane (19'), Bentaleb (33')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-2 Monaco
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 3-1 Angers

Marseille suffered a major setback in their hunt for a top-two finish last time out, but they should be confident of easing past an Angers outfit who are in turmoil on and off the pitch. Angers have been competitive in their last six matches - scoring in each - but we envisage another defeat for the visitors at Stade Orange Velodrome on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 79.58%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Angers had a probability of 7.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for an Angers win it was 1-2 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
MarseilleDrawAngers
79.58% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04) 13.09% (0.026999999999999 0.03) 7.32% (0.019 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.93% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)32.06% (0.063999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.36% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)53.64% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.69% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)6.3% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.27% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)23.72% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.13% (0.0019999999999953 0)47.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.86% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)83.13% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 79.57%
    Angers 7.32%
    Draw 13.09%
MarseilleDrawAngers
2-0 @ 11.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 7.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 4.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.87% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 79.57%
1-1 @ 6.14% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.02% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 13.09%
1-2 @ 2.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 2.22% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 7.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Auxerre
Sunday, April 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, April 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Troyes
Sunday, April 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Marseille
Sunday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Montpellier
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-2 Monaco
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 4-2 Angers
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-2 PSG
Friday, April 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Angers
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-0 Lille
Saturday, April 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-1 Nice
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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