Marseille have been a little shaky at home this season, but they could not ask for a better team to play at the moment, as no side have collected fewer points than Troyes in their last 10 league games.
Owing to ESTAC's terrible defensive record, it would not be a surprise to see the Olympians rack up a victory by a considerable margin, keeping themselves in the hunt for the Ligue 1 title.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 11.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
0.01) 
-0) 
