SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Angers had a probability of 10.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.21%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for an Angers win it was 2-1 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
10.11% ( 0.03) | 15.25% ( 0.02) | 74.65% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.36% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.1% ( 0) | 32.9% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.39% ( 0) | 54.61% ( 0) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.66% ( 0.05) | 42.34% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.27% ( 0.04) | 78.73% ( -0.04) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.55% ( -0.01) | 7.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.2% ( -0.02) | 26.8% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 2.71% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 10.11% | 1-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.15% 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.25% | 0-2 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 9.21% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0)0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.91% 0-4 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 5.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0)0-5 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.67% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.21% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.34% ( -0)1-6 @ 1.16% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 74.64% |
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