Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.