Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
