Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
