SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Le Havre |
58.63% ( -0.68) | 21.78% ( 0.32) | 19.59% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 55.04% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.01% ( -0.87) | 42.99% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.61% ( -0.87) | 65.39% ( 0.88) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.65% ( -0.5) | 14.35% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.79% ( -0.98) | 42.2% ( 0.98) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.25% ( -0.12) | 35.74% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.48% ( -0.13) | 72.52% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Le Havre |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.9% Total : 58.63% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.77% | 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.59% |
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