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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
LL

Le Havre
3 - 0
Lorient

Kuzyaev (53'), Alioui (70'), Mbemba (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 2-2 Le Havre
Sunday, August 27 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 4-1 Lille
Sunday, August 27 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Havre 1-2 Lorient

Le Havre will be hoping to record their first win of the season, but we think that they will be edged out by a confident Lorient side who would have been buoyed by last weekend's 4-1 win over Lille. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawLorient
48.41% (-1.404 -1.4) 26.66% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 24.93% (1.359 1.36)
Both teams to score 46.94% (1.155 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.94% (0.842 0.84)57.06% (-0.845 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.05% (0.67 0.67)77.95% (-0.67200000000001 -0.67)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-0.279 -0.28)23.63% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28% (-0.404 -0.4)57.72% (0.401 0.4)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.47% (1.728 1.73)38.53% (-1.731 -1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.72% (1.612 1.61)75.28% (-1.615 -1.62)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 48.41%
    Lorient 24.93%
    Draw 26.65%
Le HavreDrawLorient
1-0 @ 13.13% (-0.54 -0.54)
2-0 @ 9.48% (-0.471 -0.47)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.56% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.077 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 48.41%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.298 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.193 0.19)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 8.68% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.97% (0.314 0.31)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.249 0.25)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.183 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.122 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.136 0.14)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 24.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rennes 2-2 Le Havre
Sunday, August 27 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Brest
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-2 Le Havre
Sunday, August 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 2-0 Le Havre
Friday, July 21 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Dijon
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 1-1 Le Havre
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Lorient 4-1 Lille
Sunday, August 27 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Nice
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 0-0 Lorient
Saturday, August 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Lorient
Saturday, August 5 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 2-0 Lorient
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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