SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 37.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
38.79% ( -2.91) | 23.58% ( 0.19) | 37.63% ( 2.72) |
| Both teams to score 63.1% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.25% ( -0.6) | 38.75% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.94% ( -0.64) | 61.06% ( 0.64) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% ( -1.57) | 20.28% ( 1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.36% ( -2.56) | 52.64% ( 2.56) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( 1.1) | 20.84% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.47% ( 1.7) | 53.52% ( -1.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.39)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.4)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.36)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.26)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.21)Other @ 3.04% Total : 38.79% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.38) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.4)0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.47)1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.33)2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.33)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.18)2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.63% |
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