Both Marseille and Lille appeared to have turned a corner following their autumnal struggles, but the champions' inability to shut the back door away from home could cost them dear once again.
Gourvennec's side always possess a goal threat of their own with David and Yilmaz partnering up top, though, and we just cannot separate the two improving giants on this occasion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Lille had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
