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Sunday, April 28
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Dec 12, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
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Strasbourg
0 - 2
Marseille


Stephan (38'), Ajorque (49'), Nyamsi (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dieng (62'), Caleta-Car (82')
Guendouzi (68')

We said: Strasbourg 3-2 Marseille

Strasbourg have been given a new lease of life under Stephan and are reaping the rewards, with another goal-laden showing against a weary Marseille potentially on the cards. The hosts' defence is hardly impenetrable either, but Les Coureurs are on cloud nine at the minute, and we expect their eye-catching run to continue with all three points in what should be a fantastic watch for the neutrals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
StrasbourgDrawMarseille
38.32%26.67%35.01%
Both teams to score 51.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.9%53.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.32%74.67%
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02%26.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68%62.32%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06%28.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18%64.82%
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 38.31%
    Marseille 35.01%
    Draw 26.67%
StrasbourgDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 7.8%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.68%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 6%
1-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.01%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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