SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Nice |
| 45.53% | 25.47% | 29.01% |
| Both teams to score 53.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.05% | 49.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.06% | 71.94% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% | 21.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.8% | 55.2% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.6% | 31.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.23% | 67.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.52% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.01% |
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