Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
