SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Nice |
| 43.25% | 26.39% | 30.37% |
| Both teams to score 51.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.91% | 53.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.33% | 74.67% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% | 24.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.23% | 58.77% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.97% | 32.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.51% | 68.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.24% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.8% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.37% |
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