Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
