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ML
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Oct 4, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
LL

Metz
3 - 1
Lorient

Niane (44' pen., 59', 64')
Angban (40')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hamel (36')
Abergel (52'), Wissa (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Metz had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
MetzDrawLorient
32.89%28.74%38.37%
Both teams to score 45.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.87%61.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.91%81.09%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.58%34.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.87%71.13%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15%30.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87%67.13%
Score Analysis
    Metz 32.89%
    Lorient 38.36%
    Draw 28.73%
MetzDrawLorient
1-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 7.1%
2-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 32.89%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.73%
0-1 @ 12.48%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 7.34%
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 1.64%
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 38.36%


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