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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Jan 24, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
N

Metz
2 - 0
Nantes

Leya Iseka (35'), Boulaya (90+3')
Goncalves (29'), Sarr (85'), Boulaya (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coco (66'), Girotto (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawNantes
37.92%28.08%34%
Both teams to score 47.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.35%58.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.8%79.2%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12%29.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02%65.98%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.64%32.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.13%68.87%
Score Analysis
    Metz 37.92%
    Nantes 34%
    Draw 28.07%
MetzDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.68%
2-1 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 3.21%
3-0 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 37.92%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.07%
0-1 @ 10.91%
1-2 @ 7.43%
0-2 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 34%

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