Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
