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ML
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 19, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
LL

Metz
2 - 0
Lens

Nguette (30'), Boulaya (90+3')
Boulaya (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sotoca (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Metz had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
MetzDrawLens
26.25%25.94%47.8%
Both teams to score 50.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49%53.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97%75.02%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57%35.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.81%72.19%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6%22.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.1%55.9%
Score Analysis
    Metz 26.25%
    Lens 47.8%
    Draw 25.94%
MetzDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.23%
2-1 @ 6.39%
2-0 @ 4.27%
3-1 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 1.65%
3-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 26.25%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 7.93%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 11.87%
1-2 @ 9.22%
0-2 @ 8.88%
1-3 @ 4.6%
0-3 @ 4.43%
2-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.66%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 47.8%

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