Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
