Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.