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Thursday, March 28
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LL
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Nov 25, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
N

Lens
1 - 1
Nantes

Kakuta (27')
Doucoure (37'), Kakuta (64'), Gradit (78'), Bade (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Toure (81' pen.)
Girotto (7'), Kolo (71')
Coverage of the Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nantes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawNantes
40.55%28.55%30.9%
Both teams to score 45.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.13%60.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.1%80.89%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57%29.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57%65.42%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.27%35.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.5%72.5%
Score Analysis
    Lens 40.55%
    Nantes 30.9%
    Draw 28.54%
LensDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.86%
2-1 @ 8.1%
2-0 @ 7.87%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 1.7%
4-1 @ 1.01%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 40.55%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.51%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 10.82%
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 30.9%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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