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M
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 28, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
N

Marseille
3 - 1
Nantes

Thauvin (2'), Payet (35'), Benedetto (60' pen.)
Payet (47'), Rongier (54'), Gonzalez (71'), Strootman (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Blas (73')
Castelletto (57'), Blas (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawNantes
38.05%29.2%32.75%
Both teams to score 44.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.31%62.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.76%82.24%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17%31.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73%68.26%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65%35.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89%72.11%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 38.05%
    Nantes 32.75%
    Draw 29.19%
MarseilleDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.88%
2-1 @ 7.67%
2-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 38.05%
1-1 @ 13.39%
0-0 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.19%
0-1 @ 11.7%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 6.08%
1-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 32.75%


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