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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
M

Nantes
1 - 2
Marseille

Kadewere (39')
Pallois (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maupay (24'), Greenwood (61')
Balerdi (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 PSG
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-3 Marseille

While Marseille's tally of four away wins is the second-most in Europe's big five leagues in 2024, no team in the Premier League, Ligue 1, Serie A, La Liga or Bundesliga has fewer than Nantes' one home victory in the whole of 2024. Another miserable Beaujoire outing surely awaits for the Canaris faithful, whose side are adept at finding the back of the net, but Marseille's rampant attackers will surely expose their defensive vulnerabilities time and time again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawMarseille
27.71% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 24.7% (0.247 0.25) 47.58% (-0.312 -0.31)
Both teams to score 55.13% (-0.759 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (-1.024 -1.02)47.48% (1.027 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (-0.956 -0.96)69.7% (0.95899999999999 0.96)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)31.08% (0.485 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.565 -0.56)67.39% (0.569 0.57)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)20.02% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.79% (-0.875 -0.88)52.21% (0.878 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 27.71%
    Marseille 47.58%
    Draw 24.7%
NantesDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.27% (0.213 0.21)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 27.71%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.262 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 10% (0.253 0.25)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.05% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 47.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Nice
Sunday, October 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 St Etienne
Sunday, September 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-1 Nantes
Sunday, September 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Reims
Sunday, September 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 PSG
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-5 Marseille
Sunday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Angers
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, September 29 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-3 Marseille
Sunday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Nice
Saturday, September 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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