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M
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
N

Marseille
3 - 2
Nantes

Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 St Etienne
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions

We said: Marseille 2-1 Nantes

Despite losing in Le Clasique, Marseille will enter the contest full of confidence after winning their last four home games in all competitions, and we think that the hosts have enough quality to edge out Nantes on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawNantes
61.61%22.08%16.31%
Both teams to score 47.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.57%49.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.53%71.47%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46%15.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.53%44.47%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.64%43.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.4%79.6%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 61.6%
    Nantes 16.31%
    Draw 22.07%
MarseilleDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.54%
2-0 @ 11.67%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 6.06%
4-0 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.53%
5-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.18%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 61.6%
1-1 @ 10.48%
0-0 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.63%
1-2 @ 4.38%
0-2 @ 2.35%
1-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 16.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Marseille
Sunday, April 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PAOK 0-1 Marseille
Thursday, April 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, April 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 PAOK
Thursday, April 7 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: St Etienne 2-4 Marseille
Sunday, April 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Nice
Sunday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Angers
Sunday, April 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Nantes
Sunday, April 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 2-3 Nantes
Sunday, April 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Lille
Saturday, March 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-0 Nantes
Saturday, March 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, March 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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