Despite losing in Le Clasique, Marseille will enter the contest full of confidence after winning their last four home games in all competitions, and we think that the hosts have enough quality to edge out Nantes on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Nantes
61.61%	22.08%	16.31%

Both teams to score 47.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.57%

49.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.53%

71.47%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.46%

15.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.53%

44.47%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.64%

43.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.4%

79.6%

Score Analysis

Marseille 61.6%

Nantes 16.31%

Draw 22.07%

Marseille	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 12.54% 2-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 6.06% 4-0 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.53% 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.12% Total : 61.6%	1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.07%	0-1 @ 5.63% 1-2 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 2.35% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.31%