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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
A

Marseille
1 - 1
Angers

Rowe (51')
Maupay (27'), Balerdi (31'), Carboni (45+5')
Maupay (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
El Melali (54')
Rao-Lisoa (26')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, September 29 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-3 Reims
Sunday, September 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 4-0 Angers

A hapless Angers side have been leaking goals for fun at a similar rate to which Marseille have been scoring them, so there only looks like one winner in this contest. The host's defeat last weekend should not be too demoralising, considering how good their start has been, and they are set to close the gap on the two sides above them here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 64.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Angers had a probability of 15.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawAngers
64.19% (4.052 4.05) 20.21% (-1.402 -1.4) 15.6% (-2.649 -2.65)
Both teams to score 52.2% (-0.941 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.23% (1.552 1.55)42.77% (-1.553 -1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.83% (1.524 1.52)65.17% (-1.526 -1.53)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.39% (1.699 1.7)12.61% (-1.7 -1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.27% (3.409 3.41)38.73% (-3.41 -3.41)
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.74% (-2.282 -2.28)40.26% (2.281 2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.11% (-2.141 -2.14)76.89% (2.14 2.14)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 64.18%
    Angers 15.6%
    Draw 20.21%
MarseilleDrawAngers
2-0 @ 10.88% (0.61 0.61)
1-0 @ 10.51% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.51% (0.855 0.86)
3-1 @ 6.83% (0.39 0.39)
4-0 @ 3.89% (0.653 0.65)
4-1 @ 3.54% (0.405 0.41)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.352 0.35)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.093 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.248 0.25)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 64.18%
1-1 @ 9.57% (-0.664 -0.66)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.358 -0.36)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.309 -0.31)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.21%
0-1 @ 4.62% (-0.643 -0.64)
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.601 -0.6)
0-2 @ 2.1% (-0.445 -0.45)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.278 -0.28)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 15.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, September 29 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-3 Marseille
Sunday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Nice
Saturday, September 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Reims
Sunday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-5 Marseille
Saturday, August 17 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-3 Reims
Sunday, September 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-1 Nantes
Sunday, September 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Angers
Sunday, September 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-4 Nice
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Angers
Saturday, August 24 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 0-1 Lens
Sunday, August 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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