Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
